Market Intelligence · AZ / Vail

Vail, AZ 85641 Housing Market

The typical home value in Vail, AZ 85641 is $401,375, down 1.8% over the past year as of September 2026. Homes carry a median list price of $408,125 and a median of 72 days on market.

Updated September 2026Median value$401K

The median home value in Vail, AZ 85641 is $401K as of September 2026, down 1.8% year over year, according to Zillow ZHVI. For a read on your own home, start with a free consultation: a licensed local pro will walk you through your numbers and your options, with no obligation.

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Typical 85641 range

$369K to $433K

This is an automated estimate, not an appraisal. Actual value is determined by current market conditions and professional evaluation. It is provided for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or a promise of value.

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12-month value trend

-1.8% over 12 months

Sep 2025$409K

Low $401KHigh $409K

Sep 2026$401K

The numbers

What is the 85641 housing market like?

As of September 2026

Typical home value

$401K

1.8%YoY

Median list price

$408K

1.7%MoM

Days on market

1.4%MoM

Homes for sale

218

0.9%MoM

Price cuts

26.7%

29.4%MoM

New listings

28.6%MoM

Sources · Zillow ZHVI (September 2026) / Realtor.com (September 2026) / FRED (October 2026)

The outlook

85641 housing market forecast 2027

-0.8%

Zillow forecast, 12 months to September 2027

Zillow forecasts typical home values in 85641 to fall 0.8% by September 2027.

Over the 12 months through September 2026, typical home values in 85641 fell 1.8%, per the Zillow Home Value Index.

Will home prices drop in 85641?

Zillow's forecast says they may: it expects typical home values in 85641 to fall 0.8% by September 2027, after a 1.8% decline over the past 12 months. Forecasts are not guarantees: mortgage rates, inventory, and the wider economy can move values either way.

Forecast: Zillow Home Value Forecast, published October 2026. A forecast, not a guarantee.

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The comparison

How do 85641 home prices compare?

85641$401,375
Vail$401,375
Arizona$385,442
United States$285,347

Median Zillow home value (ZHVI), as of September 2026. Comparison levels are medians across every ZIP code with Zillow data (Vail: 1 ZIP; Arizona: 300 ZIPs; United States: 26,262 ZIPs).

Context

As of September 2026, buyers in 85641 can choose among 218 homes for sale, with 72 new listings entering the market that month. The median list price stands at $408,125, and homes are taking a median of 72 days to go under contract. Meanwhile, 26.7% of listings have had a price cut, and the typical home value of $401,375 is down 1.8% from a year ago. Taken together, these figures describe a market where sellers are adjusting expectations. If you are thinking of selling, price carefully from the start and expect the process to take some patience.

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Common questions

What people ask us.

How much is a home in 85641 worth?

The typical home value in 85641 is $401,375, down 1.8% over the past year as of September 2026.

What are homes listed for in 85641?

The median list price is $408,125, and 26.7% of active listings have taken a price cut.

How fast are homes selling in 85641?

Homes are spending a median of 72 days on market, with 218 homes for sale and 72 new listings as of September 2026.

Discover

Nearby ZIP markets.

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